The Wii 2 will only match Xbox 360 and PS3 technologically and therefore won't be a step into the next generation.
That's the opinion of Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter, who was hit with the following question from Industry Gamers: "Do you see a circumstance in which Nintendo does not strike first in the next console generation?"
Pachter responded hesitantly, saying that he thought Nintendo would match Sony and Microsoft with its next Wii iteration before the current HD platform holders moved on again.
He made it clear, however, that technology is not the only area worth innovating in:
"I think that this was an incredibly well-worded question, and I don't think that there is a possibility that my answer will ever be right.
"No, I don't think that Nintendo will strike first in the next console generation; rather, I think that they will strike last in the current console generation," explained Pachter.
"I think that their next console will be on par technologically with the current PS3 and Xbox 360, and don't expect them to advance technology at all with their next offering.
"They will undoubtedly advance game play, and are likely to further innovate there, but I don't think that the classic term 'generation' can be applied to that, if there aren't more pixels and a faster frame rate offered up.
"Nintendo now finds itself in a position of having to play catch up. Kinect and Move will have an installed base of 8 - 10 million by the end of 2010, and a base of 20 - 25 million by the time Nintendo launches its 'next' generation console," he continued.
"If the Wii 2 is just a Wii on steroids, with technology similar to the PS3 or 360, it's going to be hard to tell current Wii customers that they should trade up.
"I can only conclude that the Wii 2 will not be 'next' generation, and that Nintendo will have a lot of catching up to do.
"All of this could have been avoided by launching the Wii HD in late 2009 and making one of my predictions come true for a change," he finished with a wink.
Back in November, Nintendo of America boss Reggie Fils-Aime said a follow-up to Wii isn't necessary for next year, but that the firm may start thinking about it after the system sells 45 million units in the US.